Steelers vs. Washington odds, suggestions: level distribution, complete, participant props, traits for Monday’s recreation of week 13
The Pittsburgh Steelers aim to stay undefeated this season and move to 12-0 when they host the Washington Football Team on Monday at 5 p.m. ET. That game was postponed three times after the Steelers-Ravens matchup in week 12 – a game originally scheduled for Thanksgiving night – due to a COVID-19 outbreak within the Baltimore organization. Since that game was played last Wednesday, the NFL decided to postpone this game to further cushion Pittsburgh’s workload. Even so, Mike Tomlin’s club are currently playing three games in 12 days, which will be quite a challenge as they try to stay the top seed in the AFC.
Washington last played on Thanksgiving, where they beat the Cowboys at 41-16. The rookie, who ran down Antonio Gibson, was the star of this competition when he completed three touchdowns and was 136 yards from the scrimmage. Washington comes into this matchup after two wins.
In this section we will look at the different betting angles this game has to offer. In addition to analyzing the total and spread, we’ll also look at some props for players that grab our attention and see how the lines have shifted over the week. All NFL odds are available through William Hill Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Monday, December 7th | Time: 5 p.m. ET
Place: Heinz Field (Pittsburgh, PA)
TV: FOX | Electricity: fuboTV (Try it for free)
Consequences: CBS Sport App
Washington (4-7) at Steelers (11-0)
The Steelers were originally 10-point favorites and 8.5-point favorites for the weekend, but there seems to be some confidence that Washington can keep this game close. In the run-up to this matchup, this spread had fallen to Steelers -6.5, which did not even give Ben Roethlisberger’s undefeated squad a full touchdown advantage. Part of that could of course also be due to the fact that the Steelers played such an unconventional schedule thanks to the three-time scheduled matchup against Baltimore on Wednesday.
Pittsburgh is the 13th team to start an 11-0 season in the Super Bowl era. Of those 12 other teams, nine won their 12th game. The Steelers also have a pretty strong history on Monday, having won 10 games in a row going back to 2014. While undefeated in a row, the Steelers have 8-3 ATS in 2020.
Meanwhile, Washington have beaten SU and ATS 3-2 in their last five games, beating their opponents by 52 points since week 7. This is the fourth best brand in the NFL on this track. While some see Washington’s extended calm as an advantage, history has proven otherwise. In their last 14 long-break games, Washington are 0-14 ATS and 1-13 SU (including nine straight defeats).
Superior team from top to bottom, Pittsburgh play at home and appear to have a chip on their shoulder after the league moved around their schedule. With that added motivation, I expect the Steelers not only to win and stay undefeated, but also to clear the 6.5 point spread.
Projected Score: Pittsburgh 24, Washington 14
As the spread moved a little closer to center, the total jumped a little as the kick-off got closer. That number opened on Thursday at 42 a.m., but increased by a full one and a half points to 43.5 points on match day. While Washington’s offense has surfaced lately, the over has a combined 10-10-2 record between these two teams in week 13.
During that streak of two-game wins, Washington averages 30.5 points per game, but they’ll face a much stronger defensive front in the Steelers than against the Bengals and Cowboys. Pittsburgh allows a league low of 17.1 points per game in this matchup and also leads the league in overall takeaways, which Alex Smith and his company do not promise too much. The Steelers have been a bit fragile at times this year, but are still in the top 10 least allowed rushing yards. Washington’s defense was also tremendously strong, especially along the first seven. This rush of passing has helped Washington allow fewer than 200 yards per game. Given the solidity of both defenses, this game feels like a low-score affair dictated by a ground attack.
Projected Sum: 38
Antonio Gibson Total Rushing Yards: Over 46.5 (-115). While the defense in Pittsburgh is strong, it allows more than 100 rushing yards per game this season and has just given up 129 yards on the ground with 4.6 yards per carry to a depleted Ravens team. Gibson is getting hot about his last two starts and should only continue to thrive. That number seems a little on the low side in my estimation, which makes it a blast.
Antonio Gibson total rush attempts: Over 12.4 (+100). In Gibson’s last five games, he has exceeded this carry mark four times (three of them in a row) and an average of 15 rushing attempts per game. It is arguably one of their best offensive weapons and will use it against Pittsburgh accordingly.
Alex Smith Total Interceptions: Over 0.5 (-120). Smith has thrown interceptions in back-to-back games and the Steelers are the best at keeping the ball off the opposing offensive. Might see if he can make it three in a row too.
Eric Ebron Total Receipts: About 3.5 (-120). Since week 7, Ebron’s average has been straight targets per game and four catches per game. In Pittsburgh’s most recent game against Baltimore, Roethlisberger targeted his close end eleven times. With that kind of volume, he has a great chance of getting over that safety support.
Ben Roethlisberger total pass attempts: Under 38.5 (+100). The Steelers quarterback hasn’t fallen below that figure since week 8. After throwing a season high 51 times on Wednesday, I would imagine Pittsburgh Big Ben might want to cut back a bit to keep him fresh on the stretch run. I also expect this to be a rather low score game that may not result in Roethlisberger throwing all over the field.